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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+4.69vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+5.22vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.93+3.45vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.71+3.18vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.63+2.54vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.41-0.78vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.11-1.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.24+0.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.99-5.31vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.50-5.09vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-1.85vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.06-0.11vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.18-1.74vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.48-3.46vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech0.18-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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6.45Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.710.1%1st Place
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7.54Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.74Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy1.240.0%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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4.91Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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11.89William and Mary-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.26Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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10.54Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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11.26Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Corbett | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin MacGillivray | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 22.1% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hughes | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 40.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 22.3% | 28.2% | 0.0% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 22.3% | 28.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.