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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.90+4.74vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.74+4.13vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.38+1.41vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03+1.44vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.24+2.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.77+0.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.35-2.48vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.08+0.21vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.26+2.78vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.81-0.94vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.45-6.56vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.21-1.16vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-3.65vs Predicted
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14American University-1.07-0.66vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.81-2.20vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.26-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.13Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.41Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.1%1st Place
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7.78Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Naval Academy1.770.1%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Naval Academy2.350.2%1st Place
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8.21Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.78Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.06Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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4.44Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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10.84Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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9.35St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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13.34American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.8William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.78Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 14.6% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 11.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 15.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 15.6% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 23.4% | 44.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 23.8% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.