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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.38+3.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.77+4.03vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+2.69vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03+1.44vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.24+2.80vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81+3.09vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.45-2.63vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.08+0.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.35-4.52vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.74-3.63vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.75vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.21-1.15vs Predicted
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13American University-1.07+0.41vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.26-2.27vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.26-3.27vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.81-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Georgetown University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Naval Academy1.770.1%1st Place
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5.69George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.1%1st Place
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7.8Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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9.09Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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4.37Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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8.25Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.48U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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6.37Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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10.85Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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13.41American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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11.73Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.73Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.78William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Petersen | 15.6% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 16.2% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 14.4% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 22.8% | 44.8% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 25.1% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.