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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.90+4.72vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+2.21vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.74+3.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.35+0.59vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.24+2.78vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.38-1.49vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.26+4.72vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03-2.56vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.15vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.21+0.73vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.81+1.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.77-5.58vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.26-1.28vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.08-5.59vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.81-6.01vs Predicted
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16American University-1.07-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.21Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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6.19Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.59U. S. Naval Academy2.350.2%1st Place
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7.78Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.51Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.72Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.1%1st Place
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9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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10.73Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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12.88William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Naval Academy1.770.1%1st Place
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11.72Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.41Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.99Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.27American University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 10.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 15.7% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 13.2% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 22.0% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 24.8% | 32.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 22.0% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 12.1% | 22.1% | 44.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.