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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+3.29vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.74+4.10vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+2.73vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03+1.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.35-0.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.77+0.19vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.16vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.38-3.48vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.81-0.03vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.24-2.13vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.81+1.89vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.08-3.52vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.26-1.14vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.26-2.14vs Predicted
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15American University-1.07-1.71vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.21-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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6.1Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.73George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.1%1st Place
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4.65U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Naval Academy1.770.1%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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4.52Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.97Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.87Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.89William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.48Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.86Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.86Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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13.29American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.58Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 17.7% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.5% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 22.8% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 23.3% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 23.3% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 24.7% | 41.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.