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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.74+5.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.35+2.50vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.45+1.27vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.38+0.50vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90+0.91vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81+3.05vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03-1.62vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.24-0.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.77-2.88vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.08-1.72vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.26+0.76vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.26-0.24vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.21-2.13vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-4.65vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.81-2.15vs Predicted
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16American University-1.07-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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4.27Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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4.5Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.91George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.05Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.38St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.1%1st Place
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7.76Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Naval Academy1.770.1%1st Place
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8.28Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.76Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.76Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.87Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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9.35St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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12.85William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.24American University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 13.6% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 15.7% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 14.5% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 11.7% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 26.2% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 21.8% | 43.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.