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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.35+3.41vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+2.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.38+1.29vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.74+2.12vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03+0.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.77+0.08vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39+0.14vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.24-0.37vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.21+1.57vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.81-1.00vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.08-2.89vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.81+1.00vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-3.77vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.26-2.30vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.26-3.30vs Predicted
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16American University-1.07-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy2.350.2%1st Place
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4.12Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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4.29Georgetown University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.12Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Naval Academy1.770.1%1st Place
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7.14George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.63Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.57Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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9.0Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.11Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.0William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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11.7Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.7Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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13.2American University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 16.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 17.5% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 16.6% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 28.0% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 21.7% | 43.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.