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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+3.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.77+3.94vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03+2.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.35+0.45vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81+3.90vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.21+4.58vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.24+0.58vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.11vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.08-0.96vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39-2.73vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.38-6.53vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.74-5.63vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.26-1.18vs Predicted
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14American University-1.07-0.74vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.81-2.21vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.26-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Naval Academy1.770.1%1st Place
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5.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.1%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Naval Academy2.350.2%1st Place
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8.9Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.58Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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7.58Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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9.11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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8.04Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.27George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.37Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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11.82Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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13.26American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.79William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.82Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 16.9% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 15.8% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 16.4% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 21.2% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 22.7% | 43.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 23.9% | 33.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 21.2% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.