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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+3.30vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+5.57vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03+2.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.35+0.58vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.74+1.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.77+0.17vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.38-2.51vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.26+3.78vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.21+1.67vs Predicted
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10American University-1.07+3.36vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.90-5.17vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.63vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.08-4.58vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.26-2.22vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.81-2.09vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.81-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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7.57Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.1%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Naval Academy2.350.2%1st Place
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6.33Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy1.770.1%1st Place
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4.49Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.78Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.67Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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13.36American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.83George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.37St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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8.42Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.78Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.91William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.93Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 17.2% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 15.2% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 14.3% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 20.3% | 21.2% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 22.9% | 44.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 20.3% | 21.2% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 26.0% | 32.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.