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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.35+3.58vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03+3.33vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.45+1.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.77+2.16vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+4.19vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.74+0.30vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08+1.19vs Predicted
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8American University-1.07+5.30vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.24-1.24vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.38-5.43vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.90-5.14vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.21-1.13vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.26-1.12vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.26-2.12vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.81-2.19vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.81-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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5.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.1%1st Place
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4.28Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Naval Academy1.770.1%1st Place
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9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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6.3Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.19Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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13.3American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.76Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.57Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.86George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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10.87Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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11.88Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.88Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.81William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.92Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 14.5% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 9.6% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 17.1% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 21.7% | 44.4% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 14.6% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 23.6% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 23.6% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 24.9% | 30.7% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.