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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+3.27vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03+3.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.77+3.14vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+1.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.35-0.32vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.74+0.35vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.24+0.49vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.21+2.33vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.38-4.45vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.84vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.26+0.57vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.26-0.43vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.81-0.50vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.08-5.92vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.81-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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5.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.1%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Naval Academy1.770.1%1st Place
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5.84George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.68U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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6.35Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.49Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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10.33Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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4.55Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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11.57Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.57Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.5William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.08Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.85Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 16.7% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 12.4% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 25.1% | 26.9% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 25.1% | 26.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 10.4% | 22.1% | 49.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.