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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+3.33vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+5.44vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03+2.36vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+1.75vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.74+1.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.35-1.28vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08+0.90vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.00vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.21+1.50vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.26+1.60vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.38-6.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.77-5.77vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.26-1.40vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.81-1.60vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.81-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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7.44Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.1%1st Place
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5.75George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.34Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.72U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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7.9Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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10.5Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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11.6Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Naval Academy1.770.1%1st Place
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11.6Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.4William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.85Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 16.5% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 13.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 19.6% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 25.9% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 25.9% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 19.9% | 50.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.