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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.24+6.61vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03+3.23vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+2.73vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.74+2.27vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.45-0.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.35-1.37vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.21+3.21vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.05vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.38-4.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.77-3.77vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.08-2.73vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.81-3.03vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.26-1.54vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.26-2.54vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.81-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.1%1st Place
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5.73George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.27Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.4Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.63U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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10.21Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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4.54Georgetown University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Naval Academy1.770.1%1st Place
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8.27Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.97Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.46Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.46Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.42William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Felix Cutler | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 14.6% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 14.4% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 25.9% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 25.9% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 19.2% | 49.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.