Race 3A

saisa-south-fall-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emma Shakespeare 12.0% 13.4% 11.4% 13.9% 13.7% 14.3% 11.1% 7.8% 2.4% 0.0%
Patrick Igoe 14.1% 16.5% 16.0% 15.6% 13.7% 10.5% 8.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.0%
Brendan Smucker 7.1% 7.4% 9.6% 11.3% 11.1% 15.1% 15.9% 15.5% 7.0% 0.0%
Dylan Hardt 7.3% 8.8% 10.1% 11.7% 14.1% 14.5% 14.4% 12.8% 6.3% 0.0%
Carly Orhan 3.4% 4.8% 6.7% 5.6% 9.6% 10.5% 14.2% 21.1% 24.1% 0.0%
Steven Hardee 22.4% 19.6% 18.9% 14.3% 10.0% 8.4% 4.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 23.8% 20.3% 17.0% 13.8% 12.4% 6.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Connor Teague 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 3.7% 3.7% 6.0% 10.2% 19.0% 49.7% 0.0%
Patrick Igoe 14.1% 16.5% 16.0% 15.6% 13.7% 10.5% 8.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.0%
Hudson Jenkins 7.7% 6.5% 7.5% 10.1% 11.7% 14.2% 17.7% 16.4% 8.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.