Race 5A

saisa-south-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sydney Monahan 23.7% 19.0% 17.7% 14.4% 10.4% 8.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Steven Hardee 18.9% 20.6% 17.2% 15.0% 12.5% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Carly Orhan 3.4% 4.0% 4.1% 5.4% 9.3% 9.4% 15.5% 24.3% 24.6% 0.0%
Dylan Hardt 7.4% 8.3% 11.3% 11.1% 12.4% 14.9% 15.9% 13.5% 5.2% 0.0%
Hudson Jenkins 7.1% 8.5% 10.0% 11.0% 10.8% 14.0% 14.1% 15.1% 9.4% 0.0%
Patrick Igoe 16.8% 16.8% 17.7% 14.5% 13.9% 10.2% 7.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Brendan Smucker 7.9% 6.7% 8.3% 11.3% 11.8% 16.2% 16.2% 14.1% 7.5% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 12.4% 13.2% 11.3% 14.3% 14.4% 13.0% 11.2% 8.3% 1.9% 0.0%
Patrick Igoe 16.8% 16.8% 17.7% 14.5% 13.9% 10.2% 7.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Connor Teague 2.4% 2.9% 2.4% 3.0% 4.5% 6.1% 10.4% 18.5% 49.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.