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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+4.58vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+3.03vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.36vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38-1.72vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.71+0.19vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.79-2.94vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32+0.29vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.14-3.69vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-1.22-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.8%1st Place
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5.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.916.5%1st Place
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4.36University of Pennsylvania1.169.7%1st Place
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2.28Cornell University2.3837.5%1st Place
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5.19Fordham University0.716.0%1st Place
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3.06Cornell University1.7922.1%1st Place
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7.29Princeton University-0.322.2%1st Place
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4.31Cornell University1.149.4%1st Place
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7.9SUNY Maritime College-1.221.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Annika VanderHorst | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 4.6% |
Elizabeth Starck | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% |
Adra Ivancich | 9.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
Bridget Green | 37.5% | 26.4% | 18.1% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 3.1% |
Sophia Devling | 22.1% | 22.4% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Carly Mraz | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 30.9% | 32.2% |
Ava Gustafson | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
Eva Leggett | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 20.3% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.