← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.80+1.95vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.94+4.73vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami2.66+0.20vs Predicted
-
4Florida State University1.97+0.39vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.74-0.19vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.51-0.59vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University2.01-2.58vs Predicted
-
8University of South Carolina0.72-1.09vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel1.11-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.95College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
-
6.73Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
-
3.2University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
-
4.39Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
-
4.81Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
-
5.41University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
-
4.42North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
-
6.91University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
-
6.19The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 26.7% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew King | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 26.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 22.3% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.1% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 5.7% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 9.1% |
| Adam Larson | 11.2% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Ian Street | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 34.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.