← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.80+1.94vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.74+3.17vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami2.66+0.19vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina0.72+2.82vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel1.11+1.04vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University0.94+0.54vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University2.01-2.62vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University1.97-3.51vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.51-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.94College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
-
5.17Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
-
3.19University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
-
6.82University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
-
6.04The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
-
6.54Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
-
4.38North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
-
4.49Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
-
5.43University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 26.3% | 22.7% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 7.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 23.7% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ian Street | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 32.3% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 19.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 24.5% |
| Adam Larson | 10.9% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.9% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.