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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.23vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.80+1.14vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.24+3.12vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.74+0.93vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.72+1.84vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.01-1.59vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.97-2.45vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.51-2.50vs Predicted
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9The Citadel1.11-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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3.14College of Charleston2.800.2%1st Place
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6.12Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.93Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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6.84University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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4.41North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.55Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.5University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.3The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 23.6% | 20.7% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Brandon Geller | 22.6% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Brent Penwarden | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Ian Street | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 35.6% |
| Adam Larson | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Joey Meagher | 11.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 10.8% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.