← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.25vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.98+1.11vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.04vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute1.30-0.39vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University0.93-0.28vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.32vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University-0.57+0.15vs Predicted
-
8Hamilton College0.01-1.71vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7720.2%1st Place
-
3.11Fordham University1.9822.9%1st Place
-
3.04University of Pennsylvania1.7724.3%1st Place
-
3.61Webb Institute1.3016.2%1st Place
-
4.72Cornell University0.937.8%1st Place
-
6.32SUNY Maritime College-0.022.9%1st Place
-
7.15Princeton University-0.571.5%1st Place
-
6.29Hamilton College0.013.0%1st Place
-
7.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.611.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 20.2% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Jacob Zils | 22.9% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Sofia Segalla | 24.3% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Everett Botwinick | 16.2% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Boris Bialer | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
Jeremy Lunati | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 21.2% | 21.3% | 13.5% |
William Roberts | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 25.5% | 29.4% |
Michael Stewart | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 21.2% | 21.5% | 12.7% |
Oscar Gilroy | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 21.7% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.