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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.97+3.52vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.74+3.13vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.37+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66-0.84vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.01-0.69vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.24-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.72-0.02vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.80-5.02vs Predicted
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9The Citadel1.11-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.13Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.31North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.92Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.98University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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2.98College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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6.22The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 6.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 14.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 21.4% | 23.1% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larson | 14.1% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Brent Penwarden | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 15.3% |
| Ian Street | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 36.7% |
| Brandon Geller | 27.3% | 21.1% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.