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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Brent Penwarden 5.2% 6.0% 7.9% 7.6% 11.2% 12.1% 15.6% 18.2% 16.2%
Brandon Geller 22.4% 22.7% 19.5% 14.1% 10.6% 5.7% 2.8% 1.7% 0.5%
Humberto Porrata 5.6% 6.4% 9.0% 9.5% 10.2% 13.4% 15.5% 18.0% 12.4%
Joey Meagher 10.4% 14.4% 13.0% 16.8% 12.5% 11.8% 10.0% 7.6% 3.5%
Atlee Kohl 26.1% 22.0% 14.3% 13.3% 9.2% 7.5% 5.3% 1.8% 0.5%
Eden Nykamp 9.1% 9.8% 11.9% 11.9% 15.1% 13.6% 12.8% 9.8% 6.0%
Gregory Walters 5.3% 3.4% 6.0% 8.2% 10.4% 11.4% 16.2% 19.1% 20.0%
Ian Street 3.4% 3.9% 3.8% 5.1% 7.3% 10.1% 12.2% 16.6% 37.6%
Adam Larson 12.5% 11.4% 14.6% 13.5% 13.5% 14.4% 9.6% 7.2% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.