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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.24+5.01vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.80+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.37+2.79vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.97+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.66-1.87vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.74-1.09vs Predicted
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7The Citadel1.11-0.70vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.72-1.03vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University2.01-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.08College of Charleston2.800.2%1st Place
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5.79University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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4.41Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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3.13University of Miami2.660.3%1st Place
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4.91Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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6.3The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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6.97University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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4.42North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Penwarden | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 16.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 22.4% | 22.7% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 12.4% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 26.1% | 22.0% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 20.0% |
| Ian Street | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 37.6% |
| Adam Larson | 12.5% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.