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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+3.99vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.97+2.71vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.800.00vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.37+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.66-2.83vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.72+0.02vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.11-1.83vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.24-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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4.71Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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3.0College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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4.35North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.61University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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7.02University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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6.17The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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5.97Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 5.9% |
| Joey Meagher | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 26.0% | 21.2% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Adam Larson | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.4% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 13.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 22.2% | 22.5% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Ian Street | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 36.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 19.7% |
| Brent Penwarden | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.