← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.80+1.93vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University2.01+2.55vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College1.74+1.92vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.37+1.57vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University1.97-0.63vs Predicted
-
6University of South Carolina0.72+0.84vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami2.66-3.84vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University0.94-1.52vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel1.11-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.93College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
-
4.55North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
-
4.92Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
-
5.57University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
4.37Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
-
6.84University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
-
3.16University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
-
6.48Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
-
6.17The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 26.8% | 22.1% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 4.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.6% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Ian Street | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 21.2% | 30.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 22.8% | 22.1% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 25.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.