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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+3.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.80+1.06vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+3.56vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.74+0.87vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.72+1.72vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.11+0.13vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.97-2.53vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.37-2.32vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.06College of Charleston2.800.2%1st Place
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6.56Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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4.87Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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6.72University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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6.13The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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4.47Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.68University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Miami2.660.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 22.1% | 25.2% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew King | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 19.9% | 26.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 32.7% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 16.7% |
| Joey Meagher | 11.7% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 12.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 26.0% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.