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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.80+1.72vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37+1.23vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.97-0.80vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.94-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.72-0.67vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.74-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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4.12North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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5.23University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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4.2Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.93Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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6.33University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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4.48Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 28.8% | 25.8% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Adam Larson | 12.5% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 3.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 24.0% | 22.1% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 21.0% | 14.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 4.3% |
| Matthew King | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 29.1% |
| Ian Street | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 40.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.