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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.80+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+1.00vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+2.90vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37+1.26vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.97-0.81vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.01-1.93vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.74-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.72-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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3.0University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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5.9Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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5.26University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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4.19Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.07North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.64Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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6.22University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 29.5% | 23.5% | 19.3% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 23.8% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew King | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 21.8% | 29.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 15.9% |
| Joey Meagher | 11.7% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 4.2% |
| Adam Larson | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 9.1% |
| Ian Street | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.