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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.80+1.76vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.97+2.19vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+2.92vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66-0.99vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.72+1.30vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.01-1.93vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.37-1.71vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.74-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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4.19Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.92Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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3.01University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.3University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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4.07North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.29University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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4.45Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 27.7% | 24.0% | 19.3% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Joey Meagher | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 4.1% |
| Matthew King | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 21.0% | 29.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 24.3% | 21.5% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Ian Street | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 38.1% |
| Adam Larson | 13.2% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 3.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 16.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.