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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+11.64vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+3.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+5.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.37+5.63vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.68+1.69vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+4.68vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.38+2.51vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.83+2.73vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.85-2.18vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.44+2.83vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.20-1.64vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.34-3.34vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.30-0.38vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.20-4.20vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-4.88vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-4.78vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.06-8.41vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.48-9.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.64University of Miami1.932.1%1st Place
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5.0Stanford University3.3015.6%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Naval Academy2.577.4%1st Place
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9.63Brown University2.374.0%1st Place
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6.69Tulane University2.689.6%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.134.0%1st Place
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9.51College of Charleston2.384.0%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University1.833.8%1st Place
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6.82Yale University2.8510.2%1st Place
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12.83George Washington University1.442.4%1st Place
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9.36Georgetown University2.205.5%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College2.344.7%1st Place
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12.62University of Rhode Island1.302.1%1st Place
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9.8Boston College2.204.5%1st Place
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10.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.054.0%1st Place
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11.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.6%1st Place
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8.59Bowdoin College2.065.8%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University2.486.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 17.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.6% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Blake Behrens | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 19.3% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Chase Decker | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 17.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Charlie Anderson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.