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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+1.35vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+1.16vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.71+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.38vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.51vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.14-1.73vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-2.05vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-1.22-0.05vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.32-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Cornell University2.3836.2%1st Place
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3.16Cornell University1.7922.1%1st Place
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5.09Fordham University0.715.7%1st Place
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4.38University of Pennsylvania1.1610.8%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.9%1st Place
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4.27Cornell University1.1410.5%1st Place
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4.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.917.0%1st Place
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7.95SUNY Maritime College-1.221.2%1st Place
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7.33Princeton University-0.321.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Bridget Green | 36.2% | 25.7% | 17.8% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sophia Devling | 22.1% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Lizzie Cochran | 5.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 2.5% |
Adra Ivancich | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
Annika VanderHorst | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 5.1% |
Ava Gustafson | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
Elizabeth Starck | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
Eva Leggett | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 22.6% | 55.6% |
Carly Mraz | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 31.2% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.