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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.80+1.76vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+3.99vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.97+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66-1.00vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.37+0.23vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.01-1.93vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.72-0.67vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.74-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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5.99Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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4.16Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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5.23University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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4.07North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.33University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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4.47Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 27.9% | 24.4% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Matthew King | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 22.8% | 29.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.4% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 23.8% | 22.9% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 13.8% |
| Adam Larson | 13.4% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
| Ian Street | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 22.4% | 39.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.