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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+6.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+5.15vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+7.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+3.96vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+5.81vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.89+3.70vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33+0.72vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.73+1.92vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.91-3.28vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.44+0.11vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.92-6.27vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-4.12vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.54vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.70-8.49vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.71-5.83vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-6.42vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.83-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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7.96Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.92Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.72Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.11Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.73Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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6.51Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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13.39McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
| Grace Gear | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| Sophie Heldman | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.