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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+6.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+5.15vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+2.57vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.39vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.71+4.94vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28+2.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+2.58vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.91-3.45vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.33-2.12vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-0.19vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-2.92vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.73-2.91vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.70-7.63vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-4.32vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.89-6.56vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.83-3.60vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.44-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.57Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.08Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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5.55Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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10.09Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.37Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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13.4McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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11.29Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Sophie Heldman | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 32.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.