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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.43vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+8.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+4.89vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+3.90vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91+0.52vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.45vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+0.87vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.73+0.90vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.33-2.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-3.88vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.71-1.67vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.70-6.57vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-3.41vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-3.65vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.83-2.70vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.89-7.47vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.52-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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7.89Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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9.9Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.43Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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11.35Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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13.3McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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11.01Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 13.4% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 6.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 10.4% |
| Sophie Heldman | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 34.1% |
| Grace Gear | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.