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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.42vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.89+7.37vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+4.83vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+6.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+6.07vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+4.76vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.28+0.85vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.71+1.95vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+2.19vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.78vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.33-3.13vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-3.12vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.73-2.71vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.91-8.32vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-8.75vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.83-3.58vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.70-11.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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7.83Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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11.07Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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7.85Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.19Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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10.29Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.68Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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13.42McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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6.45Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.1% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Heldman | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 32.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.