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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+6.63vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+8.46vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+2.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+3.96vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.73+4.88vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.70+0.52vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+1.90vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91-2.42vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+0.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-3.85vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.44-0.59vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.71-2.86vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.89-4.40vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.33-7.13vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-6.73vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.52-6.03vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.83-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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5.57Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.88Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.52Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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5.58Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.41Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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10.97Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.35McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Scherer | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.6% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Grace Gear | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% |
| Sophie Heldman | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.