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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.41vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+5.73vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+4.89vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+3.78vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91+0.47vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.47vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+3.56vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.89+1.30vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+1.73vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52+0.81vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.70-4.56vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-5.74vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.71-3.67vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.73-4.71vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-7.15vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.44-5.71vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.83-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.89Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.47Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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10.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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10.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.44Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.29Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.85Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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11.29Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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13.38McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| Grace Gear | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 7.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 5.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% |
| Sophie Heldman | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.