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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+6.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.44vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+6.30vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+3.82vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+5.73vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.70+0.56vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.91-1.43vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+0.75vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.28-0.89vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.83vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.71-0.64vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.83+1.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-2.29vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-4.37vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.73-5.95vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.89-7.41vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.44-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.44Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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7.82Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.56Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.57Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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8.11Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.29McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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10.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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10.05Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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11.29Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 33.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 6.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.