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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.73+8.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.29vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+5.45vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+3.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.89vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+4.01vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33+0.50vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.67vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.91-3.69vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.70-3.95vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.28-3.45vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.71-2.38vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-2.71vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-4.12vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.83-2.29vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.44-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.29Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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5.31Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.05Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.55Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.29Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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12.71McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.72Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% |
| Sophie Heldman | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 34.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.