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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.08vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.34vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.93+1.76vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.98-0.86vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.30-1.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+1.54vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.01-0.73vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.57-0.90vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of Pennsylvania1.7722.7%1st Place
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3.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7718.6%1st Place
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4.76Cornell University0.938.5%1st Place
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3.14Fordham University1.9822.1%1st Place
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3.53Webb Institute1.3016.6%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.612.4%1st Place
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6.27Hamilton College0.013.4%1st Place
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7.1Princeton University-0.572.2%1st Place
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6.24SUNY Maritime College-0.023.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 22.7% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 18.6% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Boris Bialer | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 22.1% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 16.6% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 22.7% | 43.7% |
| Michael Stewart | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 21.9% | 20.2% | 12.4% |
| William Roberts | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 26.5% | 28.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 19.6% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.