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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.03+7.31vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.33+5.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.89vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+1.48vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+2.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-0.56vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.73+2.62vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.68vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70-3.01vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-0.57vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.28-4.49vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-3.03vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.71-4.39vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-5.16vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.83-3.28vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.44-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.48Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.44Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.62Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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5.99Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.51Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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12.72McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.73Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Maus | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% |
| Sophie Heldman | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 34.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.