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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.70+4.89vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.28vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73+6.58vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+1.47vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.33+2.41vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+4.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.85vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.30-1.70vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44+0.56vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.01vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-3.53vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-3.00vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.71-4.42vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.83-2.47vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.28-8.39vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.52-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.28Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.58Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.47Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.3Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.56Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.47Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.53McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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7.61Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.1% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
| Sophie Heldman | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 33.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.