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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+5.49vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.80vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.25+8.39vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+1.07vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.79+3.87vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.46+0.40vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.83+1.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.45vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.80+3.88vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.03vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.95+1.39vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.14-0.08vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-0.22vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-8.12vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-7.07vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-2.85vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.07vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.02-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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11.39Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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5.07Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.87Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.4Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.76Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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12.88McGill University0.800.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.39Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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11.92Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.78University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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7.93Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.15Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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11.85Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.0% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Escobar | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Emma Snead | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Iona Wyper | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 15.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 16.6% |
| Sarah Young | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 19.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.