← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.82+4.30vs Predicted
-
2Boston University0.72+11.38vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.46+3.59vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.83+4.75vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.02+6.93vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.47+0.35vs Predicted
-
7Yale University1.79+1.98vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.49vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College1.25+2.16vs Predicted
-
10McGill University0.80+3.08vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.76+2.06vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.03-3.72vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.34vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University0.95-1.98vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-7.36vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College2.55-9.95vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College1.14-5.31vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.3Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
13.38Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
6.59Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
8.75Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
-
11.93Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
6.35Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
8.98Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
-
7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
11.16Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
-
13.08McGill University0.800.0%1st Place
-
13.06University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
8.28Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
8.66University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
12.02Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
6.05Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
11.69Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 18.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Escobar | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Iona Wyper | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 16.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 17.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.