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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+4.29vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.14+9.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.84vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.46+2.28vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.76+7.89vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.72+7.16vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47-0.69vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.79+0.90vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-0.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.95+2.54vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.55-4.87vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.83-2.83vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.54vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.80-1.45vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.02-2.99vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-5.12vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-8.90vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.25-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.84Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.28Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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12.89University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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13.16Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.31Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.9Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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12.54Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.17Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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12.55McGill University0.800.0%1st Place
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12.01Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.1Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.99Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% |
| Emma Snead | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 17.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 20.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Escobar | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 11.9% |
| Sarah Young | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Iona Wyper | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.