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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+5.55vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+4.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.78vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+1.06vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+6.96vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.46+0.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.75vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.25+3.10vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.76+4.08vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.00vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.80+1.95vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.79-2.70vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-0.07vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.83-5.42vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.14-3.52vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.95-3.61vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-8.88vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-10.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.06Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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11.96Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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11.1Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.95McGill University0.800.0%1st Place
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9.3Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.93Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.58Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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11.48Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.39Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.12Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.1% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% |
| Iona Wyper | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 17.2% |
| Ximena Escobar | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 17.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.