← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.79+2.12vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.35vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.38-0.71vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+0.99vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.45vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University1.14-1.70vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University0.71-1.73vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-0.32-0.70vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College-1.22-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.12Cornell University1.7921.2%1st Place
-
4.35University of Pennsylvania1.1610.9%1st Place
-
2.29Cornell University2.3836.4%1st Place
-
4.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.916.9%1st Place
-
5.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.8%1st Place
-
4.3Cornell University1.1410.0%1st Place
-
5.27Fordham University0.716.0%1st Place
-
7.3Princeton University-0.321.6%1st Place
-
7.94SUNY Maritime College-1.221.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sophia Devling | 21.2% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Adra Ivancich | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
Bridget Green | 36.4% | 28.4% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Elizabeth Starck | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 5.1% |
Ava Gustafson | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 3.9% |
Carly Mraz | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 33.4% | 30.0% |
Eva Leggett | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 20.4% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.