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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.55+5.28vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+3.26vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.80vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83+4.72vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.25+6.04vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.95+6.35vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84+0.71vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.79-0.11vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-1.76vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.46-4.49vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76+1.24vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.47-6.80vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.72-1.16vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.14-3.45vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.02-3.86vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.80-3.99vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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5.26Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.72Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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11.04Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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12.35Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.89Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.24Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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13.24University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.84Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.55Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.14Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.01McGill University0.800.0%1st Place
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10.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% |
| Emma Snead | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Ximena Escobar | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 19.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 17.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% |
| Iona Wyper | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 15.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.