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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+4.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+4.54vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.78vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.56vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+2.93vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+2.79vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+5.99vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.83+0.75vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.55-3.10vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.46-3.40vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.79-1.88vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72+1.43vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.14-1.60vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.25-3.16vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.24vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.02-3.88vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.95-4.51vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.80-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.93Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.75Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.9Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.12Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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13.43Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.4Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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10.84Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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10.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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12.12Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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12.49Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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12.67McGill University0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 15.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Young | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Escobar | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 22.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% |
| Iona Wyper | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.