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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+6.92vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.81vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.79+6.18vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83+4.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46+1.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.02+6.11vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.14+4.55vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76+4.87vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-2.75vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72+3.34vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-2.12vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.80+1.08vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.55-7.10vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.82-9.05vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-7.07vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.25-4.79vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.95-4.61vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.18Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.68Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.36Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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12.11Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.55Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.34Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.08McGill University0.800.0%1st Place
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5.9Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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4.95Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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7.93Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.21Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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12.39Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ximena Escobar | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 17.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 18.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Iona Wyper | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 17.8% |
| Sarah Young | 12.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 16.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.